Analysing international policy processes and Lithuania’s role in them
Research Feb 11, 2025

Rare earths. Seeking west’s strategic responses to China’s dominance

Photo source: GSSC Archyvas
Summary

The global struggle for rare-earth elements (REEs) is becoming one of the most important geopolitical and economic challenges of the 21st century. REEs are crucial for high technology and especially for the transition to green energy, including batteries for electric vehicles, wind turbine engines and advanced electronics.

Efforts to keep up with the ever-accelerating pace of technological progress are intrinsically bound to these elements, making the stability and security of their supply chains a strategic priority for many countries.

The key “future” technologies such as artificial intelligence, quantum technologies, renewable green energy, electric vehicles, advanced chip manufacturing and modern warfare are all, in one way or another, dependent on the REEs. Their production and supply on the global market are now largely controlled by Beijing, making the issue of their availability a huge challenge for the West. Decades of proactive policy and investment in the rare earth sector have enabled China to establish itself on the global market as the unquestioned leader in both extraction and processing, and most importantly, as a leader in the research and industrial application of related niche technologies.

The world’s dependence on China, which controls more than 80% of the global rare-earth element market, poses significant geopolitical risks. China’s ability not only to secure the supply of these resources, but also to control their global prices, gives Beijing powerful technological, economic and political leverage in the international arena, which the Chinese have been recently increasingly exploiting for pushing their interests. For these reasons, the European Union and other Western countries have recently become particularly active in their efforts to reduce their dependence on China-dominated supply chains and have taken steps in seeking alternative sources of supply, investing in new technologies and strategic stockpiling plans.

However, there is no easy solution to the problem, and the steadily growing demand for rare earths leads to a difficult question: How to remain technologically competitive and, at the same time, significantly reduce our dependence on China?

Read the full publication here.

GSSC Associate Expert and Chief Policy Analyst at the Government Strategic Analysis Center (STRATA). Since 2021, he has been a PhD candidate at the Institute of International Relations and Political Science, Vilnius University. In 2023, Boruta was a visiting fellow at National Chengchi University in Taiwan under the Taiwan Ministry of Foreign Affairs’ Taiwan Fellowship programme. He holds an MA in International Relations from Sichuan University, China, and a BA in East Asian Studies with a focus on China from the University of Central Lancashire, United Kingdom. His research focuses on the foreign and domestic policies of China and Taiwan, as well as cross-Strait relations, with particular attention to the dynamics of China–ASEAN relations and the strategic competition between Beijing and Taipei in Central and Eastern Europe.